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Red200
6325112.9
5332115.9
4189159.8
Blue350
6705190.7
5900110.7
1771105.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254317100200400500600200350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.81.7
154.1155.8
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5
blue by 30.9
190.71.2
187.8189.0
Auto18.3
Teleop155.8
End16.7
Second
5332
#19
115.90.5
114.0113.6
Auto17.4
Teleop89.7
End9.8
red by 5.2
5900
#33
110.71.5
106.3107.8
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End9.9
Third
6325
#29
112.90.3
111.8111.5
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End11.4
red by 7.4
1771
#26
105.51.8
94.296.0
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed