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Red453
1414178.2
6919136.1
6340142.8
Blue197
3998161.7
3329112.3
6829163.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324349200300400500600453197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.21.6
166.6168.2
Auto25.2
Teleop130.8
End21.5
red by 15.0
6829
#21
163.20.2
171.5171.4
Auto23.0
Teleop125.5
End13.2
Second
6340
#32
142.80.3
141.0140.7
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
blue by 18.9
3998
#12
161.71.9
162.7164.6
Auto22.2
Teleop120.8
End20.1
Third
6919
#25
136.10.4
136.7137.1
Auto22.6
Teleop103.6
End8.1
red by 23.8
3329
#35
112.30.7
115.6116.3
Auto15.1
Teleop90.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed