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Red240
6887101.8
4189159.8
5900110.7
Blue195
5109126.0
6340142.8
3581139.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2733120100200400500600700240195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.81.1
155.8156.9
Auto19.6
Teleop120.1
End20.5
red by 17.0
6340
#32
142.80.8
140.7141.5
Auto15.6
Teleop112.5
End16.2
Second
5900
#33
110.71.3
107.8109.1
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End9.9
blue by 28.9
3581
#34
139.60.2
141.5141.7
Auto16.4
Teleop101.4
End23.2
Third
6887
#37
101.80.6
103.2102.7
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
blue by 24.2
5109
#27
126.00.6
123.7124.3
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed