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Red271
6887101.8
4240127.3
4910218.8
Blue287
6177144.2
2415143.0
1261131.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364301100200400500600271287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.80.0
220.0219.9
Auto23.8
Teleop166.1
End27.9
red by 74.6
144.21.6
141.8143.3
Auto25.2
Teleop101.5
End15.2
Second
4240
#38
127.30.6
126.1126.7
Auto16.0
Teleop93.6
End19.8
blue by 15.7
2415
#23
143.00.4
145.0144.6
Auto21.8
Teleop109.8
End11.1
Third
6887
#37
101.80.2
102.1101.9
Auto16.5
Teleop80.3
End5.3
blue by 29.2
1261
#17
131.00.4
130.6131.0
Auto19.0
Teleop97.7
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed