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Red236
3581139.6
1771105.5
6471148.6
Blue354
4459128.5
5109126.0
1311155.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279321100200400500236354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6471
#16
148.60.6
147.7148.4
Auto18.4
Teleop111.3
End23.7
blue by 7.0
1311
#14
155.71.4
151.6153.0
Auto16.6
Teleop119.6
End20.8
Second
3581
#34
139.60.7
140.3139.6
Auto16.4
Teleop101.4
End23.2
red by 11.1
128.51.2
124.8126.1
Auto17.4
Teleop103.5
End8.7
Third
1771
#26
105.52.1
101.4103.5
Auto13.1
Teleop80.9
End14.5
blue by 20.5
5109
#27
126.00.7
124.3125.1
Auto17.1
Teleop97.4
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed