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Quarterfinal 3-22018 PCH District Columbus Event
Red201
1414159.5
4188149.7
5840107.8
Blue284
5482127.7
3815121.2
3573119.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338235100200300400500600201284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#4
159.50.4
158.8→159.2
Auto23.6
Teleop117.5
End19.9
red by 31.7
5482
#12
127.70.1
128.0→127.8
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
Second
4188
#2
149.70.3
149.2→149.5
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
red by 28.5
3815
#11
121.20.0
121.0→121.0
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
Third
5840
#23
107.80.1
108.1→108.0
Auto13.4
Teleop82.9
End11.1
blue by 11.3
3573
#14
119.00.0
118.9→118.8
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5