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Red359
4941160.6
3635126.1
334490.8
Blue118
590098.5
4516103.3
4730110.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372080100300400500600700359118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.60.2
159.1159.3
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
red by 50.7
4730
#22
110.00.3
109.7110.0
Auto12.8
Teleop82.4
End16.1
Second
126.10.4
123.6124.1
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
red by 22.8
4516
#10
103.30.6
102.7103.3
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
Third
3344
#20
90.80.1
89.789.8
Auto14.6
Teleop70.1
End5.6
blue by 7.7
5900
#16
98.50.3
98.298.5
Auto14.2
Teleop81.4
End3.9