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Red101
613987.5
5840107.8
671687.3
Blue59
671596.0
6325107.3
4516103.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23124105001,0001,5002,0002,50010159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5840
#23
107.81.0
105.9106.9
Auto13.4
Teleop82.9
End11.1
red by 0.5
107.31.1
106.5105.5
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
Second
6139
#31
87.51.7
81.282.9
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
blue by 15.8
4516
#10
103.30.7
98.397.6
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
Third
6716
#21DQ
87.30.1
95.395.2
Auto11.1
Teleop71.7
End4.0
blue by 8.7
6715
#17
96.00.6
98.599.2
Auto14.0
Teleop72.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed