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Red164
309194.1
6325107.3
3815121.2
Blue208
6023117.2
4941160.6
3635126.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2063290100300400500164208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3815
#11
121.22.1
114.4116.5
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
blue by 39.4
160.60.6
149.7150.3
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
Second
107.31.6
105.5103.9
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
blue by 18.8
126.11.0
110.7111.6
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
Third
3091
#30
94.10.5
95.495.9
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End4.7
blue by 23.1
6023
#25
117.21.5
132.6131.1
Auto17.4
Teleop91.3
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed