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Red120
6340141.3
6925106.5
613987.5
Blue405
4240116.7
5482127.7
1414159.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244311100200400500120405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6340
#24
141.31.1
143.6144.8
Auto16.8
Teleop110.0
End12.9
blue by 18.2
159.52.2
135.5137.7
Auto23.6
Teleop117.5
End19.9
Second
6925
#29
106.50.4
113.0112.7
Auto15.9
Teleop79.6
End10.4
blue by 21.2
5482
#12
127.70.4
127.0126.6
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
Third
6139
#31
87.51.5
82.984.4
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
blue by 29.2
116.70.6
99.8100.5
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed