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Red20
671687.3
4730110.0
671485.7
Blue192
4240116.7
6325107.3
3265107.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211248010030040050020192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4730
#22
110.01.0
108.0107.0
Auto12.8
Teleop82.4
End16.1
blue by 6.7
116.71.2
101.4100.3
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
Second
6716
#21
87.30.7
94.695.3
Auto11.1
Teleop71.7
End4.0
blue by 20.2
3265
#15DQ
107.40.3
98.397.9
Auto14.4
Teleop82.8
End10.8
Third
6714
#26
85.70.5
92.091.5
Auto12.5
Teleop66.0
End8.6
blue by 21.6
107.32.0
108.5106.5
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed5%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed