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Red70
419586.6
671687.3
6325107.3
Blue344
4459120.9
5482127.7
3265107.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142324010020030040050070344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.6
102.2102.9
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
blue by 20.4
5482
#12
127.70.2
127.9128.1
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
Second
6716
#21
87.31.1
93.292.2
Auto11.1
Teleop71.7
End4.0
blue by 33.6
4459
#18
120.90.8
118.1118.9
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End5.7
Third
4195
#33
86.60.1
90.890.7
Auto11.4
Teleop67.3
End5.6
blue by 20.8
3265
#15
107.40.7
100.3101.0
Auto14.4
Teleop82.8
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
3%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed