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Red132
6750110.7
5482127.7
582877.7
Blue385
4188149.7
3635126.1
671485.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21626850100150250300350400132385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#12
127.70.9
128.1129.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
blue by 22.0
149.70.9
138.8139.7
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
Second
6750
#27
110.72.4
106.4108.7
Auto14.5
Teleop86.0
End8.1
blue by 15.4
126.10.9
112.5113.5
Auto17.1
Teleop100.8
End8.5
Third
5828
#32
77.70.7
80.279.6
Auto13.0
Teleop63.5
End2.1
blue by 8.0
6714
#26
85.71.0
84.383.3
Auto12.5
Teleop66.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
4%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed