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Red242
6325107.3
5840107.8
4188149.7
Blue140
3815121.2
590098.5
4459120.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231245150200300350242140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
149.72.1
139.7141.8
Auto16.6
Teleop115.7
End17.1
red by 28.5
3815
#11
121.20.9
120.7121.5
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
Second
5840
#23
107.80.1
108.8109.0
Auto13.4
Teleop82.9
End11.1
blue by 13.1
4459
#18
120.90.3
120.2120.5
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End5.7
Third
107.30.2
102.6102.8
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
red by 8.8
5900
#16
98.50.1
97.397.1
Auto14.2
Teleop81.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed