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Red404
4516103.3
4910223.4
671485.7
Blue195
613987.5
2415143.9
3573119.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322244100200300400500404195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.42.3
204.9207.2
Auto28.1
Teleop162.2
End34.8
red by 79.5
143.90.1
146.3146.1
Auto21.2
Teleop113.3
End7.8
Second
4516
#10
103.30.5
95.495.8
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
blue by 15.7
3573
#14
119.01.4
117.0118.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.4
End11.5
Third
6714
#26
85.70.5
83.383.8
Auto12.5
Teleop66.0
End8.6
blue by 1.8
6139
#31
87.50.6
85.185.7
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed