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Red190
3265107.4
309194.1
5582118.6
Blue231
613987.5
4516103.3
582877.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3021740100200400500190231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5582
#13
118.61.2
115.1116.3
Auto18.2
Teleop89.6
End12.8
red by 15.3
4516
#10
103.31.2
95.897.1
Auto14.5
Teleop80.5
End9.7
Second
3265
#15
107.41.5
103.4104.8
Auto14.4
Teleop82.8
End10.8
red by 19.9
6139
#31
87.50.1
85.785.9
Auto12.7
Teleop70.0
End6.2
Third
3091
#30
94.10.2
93.393.5
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End4.7
red by 16.4
5828
#32
77.70.6
78.577.9
Auto13.0
Teleop63.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed