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Red353
590098.5
4910223.4
309194.1
Blue227
6340141.3
6750110.7
6325107.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402310100200300400500600353227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223.42.8
207.2210.0
Auto28.1
Teleop162.2
End34.8
red by 82.1
6340
#24
141.30.3
143.5143.1
Auto16.8
Teleop110.0
End12.9
Second
5900
#16
98.50.3
97.196.8
Auto14.2
Teleop81.4
End3.9
blue by 12.2
6750
#27
110.70.4
110.0110.3
Auto14.5
Teleop86.0
End8.1
Third
3091
#30
94.10.0
93.593.5
Auto12.6
Teleop78.1
End4.7
blue by 13.2
107.31.1
103.4104.5
Auto13.6
Teleop87.9
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed