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Red103
5482127.7
671485.7
4941160.6
Blue375
2974163.9
4240116.7
3815121.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266295100200400500103375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.61.7
148.0149.7
Auto19.1
Teleop124.6
End18.3
blue by 3.2
163.90.1
157.3157.4
Auto28.8
Teleop121.6
End13.1
Second
5482
#12
127.70.4
126.6127.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.0
End17.6
red by 6.5
3815
#11
121.21.4
113.1114.4
Auto13.5
Teleop101.5
End6.8
Third
6714
#26
85.71.2
91.590.4
Auto12.5
Teleop66.0
End8.6
blue by 31.0
116.70.4
100.399.8
Auto14.4
Teleop88.6
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed