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Red256
2974156.1
3998147.2
671598.3
Blue313
5219120.1
4459121.4
4749114.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308259100200400500256313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.11.0
147.6148.6
Auto24.7
Teleop114.0
End18.1
red by 34.7
4459
#11
121.40.4
125.6125.2
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End4.4
Second
147.21.2
135.6136.8
Auto20.0
Teleop112.1
End16.6
red by 27.1
5219
#15
120.10.2
122.4122.6
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End6.5
Third
6715
#27
98.30.3
95.996.3
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End12.4
blue by 16.1
4749
#20
114.40.2
114.8114.6
Auto14.1
Teleop89.5
End11.3