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Red426
1002133.0
1746150.0
6712106.7
Blue183
5332120.1
3815112.0
4509116.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299242100200400500426183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.01.1
144.0145.1
Auto15.5
Teleop122.6
End13.2
red by 29.9
5332
#12
120.10.2
120.5120.3
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End4.1
Second
133.00.8
128.4129.2
Auto16.1
Teleop104.7
End14.7
red by 16.5
4509
#19
116.40.7
115.1115.8
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End11.9
Third
6712
#21
106.70.2
105.0105.3
Auto16.7
Teleop82.8
End7.6
blue by 5.4
3815
#10
112.00.6
111.0111.5
Auto11.6
Teleop95.2
End6.6