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Red5
3694100.0
1771100.1
309195.1
Blue278
6023136.5
5332120.1
419397.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24326701002003004005005278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#36DQ
100.13.7
102.6106.3
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End8.7
blue by 36.4
6023
#17
136.56.8
109.3116.1
Auto18.9
Teleop106.2
End9.2
Second
3694
#33
100.012.3
82.594.9
Auto13.5
Teleop81.3
End2.9
blue by 20.0
5332
#12
120.14.3
108.0112.3
Auto15.5
Teleop97.5
End4.1
Third
3091
#30DQ
95.15.1
98.3103.4
Auto13.9
Teleop78.1
End2.6
blue by 2.3
4193
#16
97.47.5
77.284.8
Auto13.0
Teleop77.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed