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Red149
690593.1
3998147.2
7076100.8
Blue231
560898.7
4459121.4
6341130.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239217100150200300350400450149231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.25.2
114.3119.5
Auto20.0
Teleop112.1
End16.6
red by 16.2
130.912.3
81.794.0
Auto14.8
Teleop100.6
End17.3
Second
7076
#25
100.83.7
85.789.4
Auto12.1
Teleop83.9
End5.5
blue by 20.6
4459
#11
121.44.0
108.1112.1
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End4.4
Third
6905
#29
93.17.7
88.796.4
Auto10.6
Teleop78.0
End0.9
blue by 5.5
5608
#13
98.71.4
101.099.6
Auto13.6
Teleop78.2
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed