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Red243
3815112.0
671492.0
2974156.1
Blue226
694496.8
1002133.0
1771100.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2751900100300400500243226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.14.1
127.9132.0
Auto24.7
Teleop114.0
End18.1
red by 23.1
133.00.7
121.4120.7
Auto16.1
Teleop104.7
End14.7
Second
3815
#10
112.03.4
98.7102.2
Auto11.6
Teleop95.2
End6.6
red by 11.9
1771
#36DQ
100.11.7
106.3104.7
Auto12.6
Teleop77.1
End8.7
Third
6714
#32
92.00.2
94.895.0
Auto12.6
Teleop73.4
End6.7
blue by 4.8
6944
#24
96.80.6
90.591.1
Auto12.1
Teleop76.3
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed