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Red188
1746150.0
419591.3
706095.6
Blue202
419397.4
5293111.3
4459121.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1932290100300400500600700188202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
150.02.0
132.5134.5
Auto15.5
Teleop122.6
End13.2
red by 28.6
4459
#11
121.43.7
118.5122.2
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End4.4
Second
7060
#18
95.60.8
90.391.0
Auto14.7
Teleop78.6
End3.0
blue by 15.7
5293
#22
111.30.3
113.2113.5
Auto15.4
Teleop85.8
End5.3
Third
4195
#37DQ
91.32.7
97.494.7
Auto11.0
Teleop73.6
End6.6
blue by 6.1
4193
#16
97.40.5
91.991.4
Auto13.0
Teleop77.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed