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Red96
671598.3
706095.6
5293111.3
Blue307
671694.6
4509116.4
6341130.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251211010030040050096307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5293
#22
111.31.6
113.5115.1
Auto15.4
Teleop85.8
End5.3
blue by 19.7
130.92.6
117.8120.4
Auto14.8
Teleop100.6
End17.3
Second
6715
#27
98.31.9
92.594.4
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End12.4
blue by 18.1
4509
#19
116.41.4
105.6107.0
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End11.9
Third
7060
#18
95.60.8
91.091.9
Auto14.7
Teleop78.6
End3.0
red by 1.0
6716
#34
94.60.3
87.988.1
Auto11.3
Teleop75.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
6%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed