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Red264
590097.2
4910190.3
7076100.8
Blue292
309195.1
6705201.3
4459121.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413110100200400500264292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.34.4
168.0172.4
Auto24.3
Teleop138.1
End29.7
blue by 11.0
201.33.2
187.2190.4
Auto20.4
Teleop163.0
End18.0
Second
7076
#25
100.82.4
94.696.9
Auto12.1
Teleop83.9
End5.5
blue by 20.6
4459
#11
121.40.3
125.9125.6
Auto14.8
Teleop98.2
End4.4
Third
5900
#26
97.21.1
94.395.4
Auto14.5
Teleop80.2
End1.7
red by 2.1
3091
#30
95.10.5
93.894.3
Auto13.9
Teleop78.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed