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Red308
4509116.4
5219120.1
694496.8
Blue176
6712106.7
334498.1
6887104.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265238100200300400500308176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5219
#15
120.10.0
122.5122.4
Auto16.7
Teleop92.8
End6.5
red by 13.4
6712
#21
106.72.3
100.7103.0
Auto16.7
Teleop82.8
End7.6
Second
4509
#19
116.42.6
107.0109.7
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End11.9
red by 12.1
104.40.7
102.8103.5
Auto15.3
Teleop80.3
End8.1
Third
6944
#24
96.80.1
96.596.4
Auto12.1
Teleop76.3
End6.5
blue by 1.3
3344
#23
98.11.0
102.4101.5
Auto13.6
Teleop76.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed