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Red50
6023136.5
3329107.1
671492.0
Blue390
613978.3
560898.7
1746150.0
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247220010030040050060070050390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6023
#17
136.51.9
136.7138.7
Auto18.9
Teleop106.2
End9.2
blue by 13.5
150.02.1
139.0141.1
Auto15.5
Teleop122.6
End13.2
Second
3329
#14
107.11.5
110.5109.1
Auto14.5
Teleop85.5
End7.9
red by 8.4
5608
#13
98.70.0
96.696.6
Auto13.6
Teleop78.2
End6.2
Third
6714
#32
92.01.6
95.794.1
Auto12.6
Teleop73.4
End6.7
red by 13.7
6139
#28
78.31.9
73.875.7
Auto11.0
Teleop65.2
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed