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Red246
2974156.1
419397.4
6887104.4
Blue120
690593.1
6023136.5
4749114.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2622780100200400500600246120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.11.1
151.2152.3
Auto24.7
Teleop114.0
End18.1
red by 19.6
6023
#17
136.50.2
138.7138.5
Auto18.9
Teleop106.2
End9.2
Second
104.40.4
104.2103.8
Auto15.3
Teleop80.3
End8.1
blue by 10.0
4749
#20
114.40.4
114.3114.7
Auto14.1
Teleop89.5
End11.3
Third
4193
#16
97.41.9
93.595.4
Auto13.0
Teleop77.0
End8.6
red by 4.3
6905
#29
93.11.0
96.195.1
Auto10.6
Teleop78.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed