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Red139
4080107.0
590097.2
6705201.3
Blue302
6887104.4
4509116.4
3581122.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312100100300400500600139302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201.33.0
195.8198.8
Auto20.4
Teleop163.0
End18.0
red by 78.9
122.40.4
122.1121.6
Auto15.1
Teleop87.4
End21.8
Second
4080
#35
107.01.6
108.5107.0
Auto12.1
Teleop87.9
End5.1
blue by 9.5
4509
#19
116.42.0
113.1115.1
Auto14.3
Teleop92.1
End11.9
Third
5900
#26
97.20.3
97.497.7
Auto14.5
Teleop80.2
End1.7
blue by 7.2
104.40.2
103.8104.0
Auto15.3
Teleop80.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed