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Red270
334498.1
6341130.9
2974156.1
Blue220
4749114.4
419591.3
560898.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312199100400500600270220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.11.6
152.3153.9
Auto24.7
Teleop114.0
End18.1
red by 41.7
4749
#20
114.40.5
114.7114.2
Auto14.1
Teleop89.5
End11.3
Second
130.90.5
129.2129.6
Auto14.8
Teleop100.6
End17.3
red by 32.3
5608
#13
98.70.6
97.698.2
Auto13.6
Teleop78.2
End6.2
Third
3344
#23
98.11.1
99.198.1
Auto13.6
Teleop76.6
End7.8
red by 6.7
4195
#37
91.32.1
93.491.3
Auto11.0
Teleop73.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed