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Red172
1311140.8
694497.6
4235104.4
Blue328
1795125.5
1261131.6
1648169.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1863300100300400500600172328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1311
#10
140.81.8
121.8123.7
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
blue by 28.8
169.62.9
154.0156.9
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
Second
4235
#37
104.40.4
106.2106.5
Auto10.7
Teleop87.9
End4.6
blue by 27.3
131.60.2
123.2123.4
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
Third
6944
#29
97.61.3
98.599.8
Auto11.7
Teleop78.8
End7.6
blue by 27.9
125.50.1
112.9113.0
Auto16.7
Teleop101.1
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed