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Red150
5293103.5
4189144.4
470190.4
Blue320
832166.7
1102169.8
4509128.3
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1853760100300500600700150320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4189
#14
144.40.1
144.0143.9
Auto16.6
Teleop111.8
End15.7
blue by 25.4
169.81.3
148.3149.6
Auto18.4
Teleop127.3
End26.4
Second
5293
#27
103.51.4
107.9106.5
Auto14.9
Teleop81.2
End4.6
blue by 63.3
832
#3
166.70.7
151.2151.9
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
Third
4701
#26
90.40.6
95.294.6
Auto13.3
Teleop71.0
End7.7
blue by 37.8
4509
#25
128.31.1
118.9120.0
Auto12.1
Teleop102.1
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed