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Red346
6705190.4
4026154.7
5074104.9
Blue185
1311140.8
3573126.0
1261131.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351228100300400500600700346185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6705
#11
190.41.6
203.3201.7
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
red by 49.6
1311
#10
140.81.7
123.7125.3
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
Second
154.70.5
147.3146.8
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
red by 23.0
131.60.5
123.4123.9
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
Third
5074
#36
104.91.2
108.5107.3
Auto15.1
Teleop82.1
End12.3
blue by 21.1
3573
#16
126.00.1
119.7119.8
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed