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Qual 322018 PCH District Duluth Event
Red325
4235104.4
4080112.4
4188165.1
Blue184
1261131.6
513297.0
5332113.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3111860100400500325184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
#4
165.10.3
153.6→153.8
Auto20.7
Teleop124.3
End22.0
red by 33.5
1261
#5
131.61.0
124.2→125.2
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
Second
4080
#17
112.41.6
102.3→103.9
Auto13.9
Teleop88.3
End12.4
blue by 1.3
5332
#34
113.70.7
115.8→115.1
Auto15.2
Teleop88.2
End11.1
Third
4235
#37
104.40.2
106.5→106.3
Auto10.7
Teleop87.9
End4.6
red by 7.4
5132
#33
97.01.4
105.3→103.9
Auto12.6
Teleop78.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed