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Red339
694497.6
3998155.8
573481.0
Blue109
4509128.3
6705190.4
5651100.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1933640100300400500600339109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.80.8
148.6149.4
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
blue by 34.6
6705
#11
190.40.6
200.7201.4
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
Second
6944
#29
97.60.2
102.2102.0
Auto11.7
Teleop78.8
End7.6
blue by 30.7
4509
#25
128.30.6
122.0122.5
Auto12.1
Teleop102.1
End15.0
Third
5734
#15
81.00.3
75.776.0
Auto13.7
Teleop62.5
End9.3
blue by 19.1
5651
#31
100.10.3
101.9102.3
Auto15.3
Teleop73.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed