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Red263
470190.4
4026154.7
6712108.3
Blue244
6705190.4
177191.9
3998155.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1823740100300500600263244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.72.0
147.7149.7
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
blue by 35.7
6705
#11
190.41.0
201.4200.4
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
Second
6712
#21
108.30.4
108.0107.6
Auto16.4
Teleop75.8
End19.4
blue by 47.5
155.81.5
149.4150.9
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
Third
4701
#26
90.41.4
91.790.4
Auto13.3
Teleop71.0
End7.7
blue by 1.5
1771
#32
91.91.9
98.296.4
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed