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Red175
5109116.7
6177121.3
3573126.0
Blue179
3998155.8
513297.0
6712108.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942880100200400500600700175179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3573
#16
126.00.6
122.4123.0
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
blue by 29.9
155.80.9
150.9151.8
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
Second
6177
#23
121.31.2
121.2120.0
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4
red by 13.0
6712
#21
108.30.2
107.6107.5
Auto16.4
Teleop75.8
End19.4
Third
5109
#19
116.70.5
118.6118.1
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
red by 19.7
5132
#33
97.01.6
102.8101.2
Auto12.6
Teleop78.3
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed