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Red367
832166.7
5293103.5
6910105.6
Blue180
5651100.1
4026154.7
4235104.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2582740100200400500600367180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
166.71.3
155.9157.2
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
red by 12.0
154.72.2
151.6153.8
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
Second
6910
#35
105.60.8
105.5104.7
Auto13.9
Teleop87.4
End4.8
red by 1.2
4235
#37
104.40.2
106.5106.2
Auto10.7
Teleop87.9
End4.6
Third
5293
#27
103.50.7
101.5102.2
Auto14.9
Teleop81.2
End4.6
red by 3.4
5651
#31
100.10.1
100.7100.8
Auto15.3
Teleop73.3
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed