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Red355
4509128.3
1261131.6
4468138.9
Blue193
4112139.1
573481.0
3573126.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662280100300400500600700355193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#12
138.91.1
136.0137.0
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End17.3
blue by 0.2
4112
#20
139.11.0
136.7137.7
Auto16.3
Teleop95.3
End31.0
Second
131.61.1
128.5129.6
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
red by 5.7
3573
#16
126.00.8
123.1123.9
Auto17.5
Teleop92.6
End19.0
Third
4509
#25
128.32.3
122.6124.9
Auto12.1
Teleop102.1
End15.0
red by 47.3
5734
#15
81.00.7
79.380.1
Auto13.7
Teleop62.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned