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Red262
4468138.9
5332113.7
4235104.4
Blue324
1311140.8
470190.4
6177121.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032490100200400500600700262324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
#12
138.91.2
137.0138.2
Auto15.8
Teleop105.5
End17.3
blue by 1.9
1311
#10
140.82.1
135.9137.9
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
Second
5332
#34
113.70.1
113.9113.7
Auto15.2
Teleop88.2
End11.1
blue by 7.6
6177
#23
121.31.3
118.6119.9
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4
Third
4235
#37
104.40.6
105.0104.4
Auto10.7
Teleop87.9
End4.6
red by 13.9
4701
#26
90.40.6
89.890.4
Auto13.3
Teleop71.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed