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Red197
369494.7
4026154.7
1261131.6
Blue273
573481.0
6750110.5
6829172.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252230100400500600197273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.70.9
146.5147.4
Auto19.5
Teleop125.7
End8.2
blue by 17.3
172.02.7
148.5151.2
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
Second
131.61.2
122.0123.2
Auto20.3
Teleop98.9
End12.9
red by 21.1
6750
#22
110.50.3
111.2111.5
Auto17.1
Teleop84.2
End10.9
Third
3694
#30
94.70.7
98.697.9
Auto13.6
Teleop76.0
End3.9
red by 13.8
5734
#15
81.01.3
79.978.7
Auto13.7
Teleop62.5
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed