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Red398
1648169.6
1102169.8
5109116.7
Blue215
6705190.4
3998155.8
6177121.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347297100200400500600398215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.5
167.4167.9
Auto18.4
Teleop127.3
End26.4
blue by 20.6
6705
#11
190.40.6
191.6191.1
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
Second
169.60.1
168.9168.9
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
red by 13.8
155.80.1
156.2156.1
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
Third
5109
#19
116.70.0
116.2116.2
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
blue by 4.6
6177
#23
121.30.2
121.0121.2
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4