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Red364
1648169.6
1102169.8
5109116.7
Blue317
6705190.4
3998155.8
6177121.3
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354289100200400500600364317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.6
167.9168.5
Auto18.4
Teleop127.3
End26.4
blue by 20.6
6705
#11
190.40.7
191.1190.4
Auto19.1
Teleop153.1
End17.3
Second
169.60.2
168.9169.1
Auto17.3
Teleop136.9
End16.9
red by 13.8
155.80.3
156.1155.8
Auto19.8
Teleop120.7
End13.3
Third
5109
#19
116.70.1
116.2116.3
Auto17.5
Teleop89.9
End10.9
blue by 4.6
6177
#23
121.30.1
121.2121.3
Auto23.1
Teleop85.9
End12.4