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Red217
4188165.1
6829172.0
177191.9
Blue145
1311140.8
832166.7
7315103.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3262920100200400500600700217145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172.00.2
172.8172.6
Auto22.5
Teleop132.1
End15.9
red by 5.3
832
#3
166.70.5
165.8166.3
Auto17.3
Teleop128.0
End22.6
Second
165.10.8
162.2163.0
Auto20.7
Teleop124.3
End22.0
red by 24.3
1311
#10
140.80.8
139.4140.2
Auto14.2
Teleop108.9
End18.5
Third
1771
#32
91.90.0
92.192.1
Auto13.0
Teleop71.1
End8.1
blue by 11.5
7315
#18
103.40.1
103.4103.5
Auto15.6
Teleop78.2
End8.4