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Red166
829176.6
6705170.9
7104110.3
Blue353
1746130.4
4189143.9
6471126.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365251100200300400500600700166353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#2
176.60.3
176.3176.6
Auto18.9
Teleop140.8
End15.1
red by 32.6
143.90.1
143.9143.9
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
Second
170.90.5
170.4170.9
Auto18.9
Teleop135.1
End16.5
red by 40.5
1746
#20
130.40.2
130.5130.4
Auto15.2
Teleop105.1
End10.4
Third
7104
#37
110.30.2
110.1110.3
Auto14.7
Teleop83.3
End12.9
blue by 16.0
6471
#14
126.30.0
126.2126.3
Auto16.2
Teleop99.5
End10.3