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Red237
1102146.8
832149.1
5109127.0
Blue328
1648133.7
587137.4
4926122.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323290100200400500600237328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
149.10.8
146.8147.6
Auto16.7
Teleop115.6
End16.2
red by 11.7
587
#9
137.40.3
136.6136.9
Auto18.4
Teleop103.6
End15.2
Second
146.80.5
145.3145.9
Auto16.9
Teleop112.3
End19.6
red by 13.1
1648
#13
133.70.2
133.2133.4
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
Third
5109
#22
127.00.6
128.7128.1
Auto18.4
Teleop95.1
End10.1
red by 4.5
4926
#23
122.60.2
122.3122.5
Auto13.9
Teleop95.8
End10.1