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Red107
1102146.8
832149.1
5109127.0
Blue295
1648133.7
587137.4
4926122.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322283100200400500600107295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#3
149.10.7
148.4149.1
Auto16.7
Teleop115.6
End16.2
red by 11.7
587
#9
137.40.1
137.2137.3
Auto18.4
Teleop103.6
End15.2
Second
146.80.4
146.3146.8
Auto16.9
Teleop112.3
End19.6
red by 13.1
1648
#13
133.70.1
133.7133.8
Auto15.1
Teleop105.3
End11.0
Third
5109
#22
127.00.5
127.5127.0
Auto18.4
Teleop95.1
End10.1
red by 4.5
4926
#23
122.60.0
122.7122.7
Auto13.9
Teleop95.8
End10.1