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Red257
326598.3
4189143.9
5582115.6
Blue148
1414132.8
565199.3
6910116.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions239242100150200300350400257148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.93.5
121.5125.0
Auto17.5
Teleop111.5
End16.5
red by 11.2
1414
#15
132.87.4
104.9112.3
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
Second
5582
#26
115.65.0
102.7107.6
Auto16.8
Teleop89.7
End6.0
blue by 1.1
6910
#31
116.78.9
89.798.7
Auto13.3
Teleop97.9
End3.9
Third
3265
#38DQ
98.33.8
83.487.2
Auto11.3
Teleop81.5
End5.0
blue by 1.0
5651
#33DQ
99.34.2
83.087.2
Auto13.9
Teleop79.1
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed