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Red126
1414132.8
5632104.0
573480.6
Blue200
6177139.6
6910116.7
5582115.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992530100200400500126200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1414
#15
132.815.0
83.398.3
Auto21.4
Teleop102.8
End9.6
blue by 6.8
6177
#10
139.617.1
64.981.9
Auto20.5
Teleop104.8
End14.0
Second
5632
#25
104.014.7
86.6101.3
Auto15.3
Teleop76.5
End15.4
blue by 12.6
6910
#31
116.727.8
105.677.7
Auto13.3
Teleop97.9
End3.9
Third
5734
#39
80.617.1
65.082.1
Auto10.1
Teleop65.1
End5.8
blue by 35.0
5582
#26
115.615.8
76.091.8
Auto16.8
Teleop89.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed